Tuesday, 19 November 2013

Overview of global economic analysis research paper.Mapping the way.

Introduction

The prominence of the neo-liberal policies in the last the last three decades has prompted major debates among academics and policy makers around the globe although it appears as though advocates of free-market economic policy are winning the argument. Starting from the early 1970s many developing countries experience unprecedented economic crisis of which some of them were caused by decline in demand for goods in world markets and financial crisis. It could be argued that liberalism of economic and financial system in the 1970s and 1980s merely ruined economic policy framework in developing countries hence inability to protect themselves against external pressure. So many developing countries such as those in Latin America and the African region began to experience   uncontrolled balance of payment deficits, worsening of fiscal deficit and unsustainable national debts. 
However, supporters of neo-liberal economics believes the sluggish growth recorded in many developing countries were largely due to resource misallocations and tight regulations on economic and investment activities. In addition to that, neo-liberal advocates also assumed that underdevelopment in Africa was caused by huge government expenditure, state ownership of enterprises, trade restrictions and existence of exchange controls. For instance, nearly 80% of Zambia`s economy was made up of stated owned enterprises by 1980 as the country engage in nationalisation process of all major industrial sector. Also Zambia`s economy relied heavily on copper which accounted for majority of its exports commodity and accounted for almost 90% of the country`s total revenue in the 1970s.

In addition to that, majority of developing countries pursued the socialist model of development which was characterised by generous welfare system, strong trade policy regimes to protect local industries and highly regulated economic activities to prevent foreign investments in some cases. Moreover, the newly independent countries of the 1960s and 197os such as Zambia faced numerous development challenges ranging from infrastructure and lack of skilled labour force. For example, Zambia had only few university graduates and about 0.5% of the country’s population were illiterate making state-led development more necessary as a way of promoting economic constructions of the country. Given that many African economies relied on primary production for export revenue generations, most of these commodities were prone to shift in world demand making their economies more vulnerable to external shocks which may in some cases cause unsustainable deficits. However, after it appeared as though, state-led development strategies failed to promote growth up the 1980s, many African countries were recommended by the IMF and World Bank to adopt neo-liberal economic policies. These policies were aimed at privatisation of state enterprises, deregulation, protection of intellectual property rights and prudence macroeconomic policy to allow flexible exchange rates and tightening up of fiscal policy. Nevertheless, IMF and World bank`s conditionality programs were unsuccessful as growth declined sharply in most adjusting countries of the region between 1980 to 2004.So, the report present a summary of the author`s critique of the Neo-Liberal explanation for Africa`s growth “failures” over 1980-2004, and attempt to explain why the “structural handcap” argument for poor growth not apply exclusively to Africa. It will then focus on recent Chinese inward FDI /assistance into the region and assess its impact on the continent`s its future prospects.

Literature Review

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